Environmental risk assessment based on semi-quantitative analysis of forest management data

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The paper deals with environmental risk assessment in prevailingly unnatural spruce (Picea abies [L.] Karst.) forests in three regions with different patterns of forest damage in the Slovak part of the West Carpathians. Logistic regression was used to estimate the effect of 7 site-related, 5 stand-related and 2 anthropogenic factors on the probability that critical forest damage will occur. The results show that regression models can describe cause-effect relationships in regions with different regimes of forest decline. Stand age, proportion of spruce, and distance from the focus of biotic agent activity predicted decline in two regions with generally lower elevation in northern Slovakia (Kysuce and Orava). In a mountain region (Low Tatras), the importance of factors contributing to the static stability of trees and position towards dangerous winds increased significantly. The quality of the derived models and prospects for their usefulness in risk assessment are discussed. … celý popis

Podrobná bibliografie

Hlavní autor

Ladislav Kulla

Další autoři

Róbert Marušák

Typ dokumentu

Články

Fyzický popis

6 il.

Publikováno v

Journal of Forest Science. -- ISSN 1212-4834. -- Roč. 57, č. 3 (2011), s. 89-95

Témata

FORESTS

DAMAGE

INJURIOUS FACTORS

PESTS

PEST INSECTS

FOREST DECLINE

AGE

STAND CHARACTERISTICS

FOREST MANAGEMENT

RISK

SLOVAK REPUBLIC

lesy

poškození

škodlivé faktory

škůdci

škodlivý hmyz

hynutí lesa

věk

vlastnosti porostu

lesní hospodářství

riziko

Slovensko

Západní Karpaty (pohoří)

Popis jednotky

1 graf, 1 obr., 4 tabulky

Bibliografie

Bilbiografie na s. 95,